Photo Credits: Sony & Marvel Studios (”Spider-Man: Brand New Day”); Ketchup Entertainment (”Coyote vs. Acme”); Universal & Syncopy (”The Odyssey”)
Cars (20th Anniversary) (Disney & Pixar)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: $3.5 — 7.5 million (3-day)
By Any Means (Paramount)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: $4 — 8 million (3-day)
Onslaught (A24)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: $2 — 4.5 million (3-day)
Akira (4K 2026 Re-Release) (Sony & Crunchyroll)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: $1.5 — 3.5 million (3-day)
Fall 2: Deadpoint (Lionsgate)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: $1 — 3 million (3-day)
Key Tracking Factors & Rationale:
Barring any unlikely surprises, Spider-Man: Brand New Day will enjoy a sixth straight and (likely) final weekend atop the box office throne before fall’s slate officially kicks off with Practical Magic 2 on September 11. The MCU blockbuster will continue its approach toward Star Wars: The Force Awakens ($936.7 million) as the top all-time domestic grosser.
Similarly, Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey will remain a top draw for repeat viewers and first-time holdouts as its still-significant presence in IMAX and return to premium locations like 4DX will fuel an 8th weekend haul and possible return to the runner-up spot. The epic will cross the $600 million domestic threshold later this month.
Coyote vs. Acme’s second weekend performance may be a bit of a wild card after over-performing against expectations in its debut. Reviews and word of mouth are healthy, and as the freshest kid-appropriate material in the market, it could be a draw for parents over the long holiday weekend before the remainder of schools in lingering pockets of the country go back into session after Labor Day Monday. Per studio sources, around 84 percent of K-12 schools and colleges were already back in session by Monday, August 31.
On the opener front, Disney and Pixar’s 20th anniversary re-issue of Cars should bring out its generation of young fans and families as what could be the top earning “new release” of the holiday, although Paramount’s By Any Means may have something to say about that.
A24’s Onslaught looks to be in a semi-wide reach, as do Lionsgate’s Fall 2: Deadpoint (opening Wednesday) and Sony/Crunchyroll’s fan event 4K re-issue of Akira. Specialty releases include Fathom’s re-issue of all five Hunger Games films and Trafalgar’s Katy Perry: The Lifetimes Tour - Live from Paris.
Weekend Forecast
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All forecasts above are subject to revision prior to the start of the weekend and will be notated accordingly. Theater counts are estimated unless otherwise stated.
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Did you forget about The Dog Stars or do you really think it’ll fall below $1 million for the weekend?