5-Week Tracking & Forecasts: SONIC 3 and MUFASA Updates, Plus A Full Look at 2024’s Top Remaining Box Office Candidates
As Peak Holiday Season Begins, Here's How December's Key Releases Are Shaping Up at the Box Office
This report also appears on Box Office Theory’s website.
With no major releases added to the five-week forecast, plus Thanksgiving landing this week, we’re rolling out a quick and easy update this week focusing the remaining major studio titles slated for release in December.
For inquiries on forward-looking box office projection services, please contact us.
Key Tracking Factors & Rationale:
As pre-sales ramp up for Nosferatu and Sonic the Hedgehog 3, alongside Mufasa: The Lion King, we’ll continue monitoring tracking trends for those and other upcoming holiday releases.
For now, forecasts versus last week are generally unchanged with the exception of Sonic. Our models now slightly favor that sequel to out-open Mufasa on the weekend of the 20th, but it remains a close battle as Disney and Paramount are both expected to ramp up marketing after the current Thanksgiving onslaught of releases.
5-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts
as of 11/27/24
(best viewed in Desktop mode; full chart available in our Substack newsletter)
All forecasts and tracking ranges above are reflective only of how the films are trending or expected to trend ahead of release. They are not final forecasts or predictions and are subject to revision at any time based on evolving market conditions and various circumstances that are factored into our modeling.
Photo Credits: Ben Davis & Sony ("Kraven the Hunter");James Laxton; Photo courtesy of Disney. © 2024 Disney Enterprises Inc. All Rights Reserved. ("Mufasa: The Lion King"); Brandon Trost & Paramount ("Sonic the Hedgehog 3"); Jarin Blaschke & Focus Features ("Nosferatu")