Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory

Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory

Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: August Updates, and Why PRACTICAL MAGIC 2 Could Kick Off Fall Movie Season In a Strong Way

For many, the Halloween corridor begins after Labor Day. Warner Bros. is teeing up their next seasonal sequel to legacy IP in hopes of a timely theatrical run.

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Shawn Robbins
Aug 07, 2026
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Photo Credits: Warner Bros. (”Practical Magic 2”)

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Key Tracking Factors & Rationale:

  • After a week off, and a massive record over-performance by Spider-Man: Brand New Day, several upcoming releases are revised in our short-range modeling. Notably, The End of Oak Street is pacing slightly off from our earlier forecasts, though as an original film it could yet deliver a late surge in the final week before release given how much Spidey and The Odyssey are overshadowing things right now.

  • Looking outward for our first peak into September, Practical Magic 2 is the marquee addition to our short-range outlook this week.

    • Early trailer trends have been encouraging across YouTube and other social networks, particularly among millennial women.

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