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5-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Can FREAKIER FRIDAY and WEAPONS Deliver a Potent Counter-Programming Duo in August?
Disney's latest 2000s-era IP revival hopes to bookend a summer which has already seen their LILO & STITCH remake break the bank, while Zach Cregger's…
Jul 3
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Shawn Robbins
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5-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Can FREAKIER FRIDAY and WEAPONS Deliver a Potent Counter-Programming Duo in August?
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Box Office Weekend Forecast: JURASSIC WORLD REBIRTH Eyes $115-137M+ 5-Day Domestic Launch
Diminished returns from recent franchise installments are inevitable, but it's never wise to count out dinosaurs on the big screen.
Jul 1
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Shawn Robbins
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Box Office Weekend Forecast: JURASSIC WORLD REBIRTH Eyes $115-137M+ 5-Day Domestic Launch
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June 2025
Box Office Weekend Forecast: F1: THE MOVIE ($55-70M+) and M3GAN 2.0 ($14M+) Debut on Pre-Fourth of July Frame, Hoping to Liven Up a Sluggish…
Is F1: The Movie just what the movie industry and moviegoers need after a mostly underperforming June?
Jun 27
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Shawn Robbins
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Weekend Forecast: F1: THE MOVIE ($55-70M+) and M3GAN 2.0 ($14M+) Debut on Pre-Fourth of July Frame, Hoping to Liven Up a Sluggish June
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Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: F1’s Bullish Momentum Continues, Early THE BAD GUYS 2 ($26M+) and THE NAKED GUN ($23M+) Outlooks, and a…
Next week's marquee release is shaping up to reach sleeper hit status, while August's slate is beginning to show some potential upside in the waning…
Jun 20
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Shawn Robbins
8
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: F1’s Bullish Momentum Continues, Early THE BAD GUYS 2 ($26M+) and THE NAKED GUN ($23M+) Outlooks, and a SUPERMAN Update
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Box Office Weekend Forecast: 28 YEARS LATER ($26-30M+) and ELIO ($18-20M+) Open for Juneteenth as HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON Sets Sights on a…
Universal's live-action remake will likely claim the top spot again as Sony counter-programs, but Disney and Pixar run into unfortunate timing with…
Jun 18
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Shawn Robbins
5
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Weekend Forecast: 28 YEARS LATER ($26-30M+) and ELIO ($18-20M+) Open for Juneteenth as HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON Sets Sights on a #1 Repeat
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Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: SUPERMAN Pre-Sales Strong, But Emphasize Complex Range of Potential; F1 ($56M+) Continues to Impress…
After a complicated ticket on-sale start, our updated models for DC Studios' flagship film consider a slightly lower floor of box office potential while…
Jun 13
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Shawn Robbins
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: SUPERMAN Pre-Sales Strong, But Emphasize Complex Range of Potential; F1 ($56M+) Continues to Impress; FANTASTIC FOUR ($125M+) Rolls Along
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Box Office Weekend Forecast: HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON ($70M+) and MATERIALISTS ($11M+) Look Toward Healthy Starts on Father’s Day Frame
Universal and DreamWorks' first venture into live-action remakes of beloved animated properties looks to set a new franchise-record on opening weekend…
Jun 11
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Shawn Robbins
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Weekend Forecast: HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON ($70M+) and MATERIALISTS ($11M+) Look Toward Healthy Starts on Father’s Day Frame
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Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPS ($125-136M+) Eyes One of Marvel’s Best Late Summer Debuts; Early Outlooks…
The 36th MCU entry is promising a pivotal, family-centric reboot of a decades-long, fan-favorite ensemble. Meanwhile, late June openers continue to show…
Jun 6
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Shawn Robbins
5
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPS ($125-136M+) Eyes One of Marvel’s Best Late Summer Debuts; Early Outlooks for I KNOW WHAT YOU DID LAST SUMMER and SMURFS
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Box Office Weekend Forecast: LILO & STITCH Eyes Another #1 Frame as BALLERINA ($26-30M+) Opens and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE Commands IMAX for…
Disney's blockbuster remake looks safe in first place for one more weekend as Lionsgate's JOHN WICK spin-off hopes to validate broader franchise hopes…
Jun 4
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Shawn Robbins
5
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Weekend Forecast: LILO & STITCH Eyes Another #1 Frame as BALLERINA ($26-30M+) Opens and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE Commands IMAX for Another Weekend
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May 2025
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Will SUPERMAN ($154M-175M+) Soar to 2025’s Best Opening, Potential Milestones for DC and James Gunn?
Where SUPERMAN lands will depend as much on the crowd-friendly quotient of the film itself as well as how willing audiences are to embrace Gunn's vision…
May 30
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Shawn Robbins
8
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Will SUPERMAN ($154M-175M+) Soar to 2025’s Best Opening, Potential Milestones for DC and James Gunn?
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Box Office Theory Celebrates 1-Year Newsletter Anniversary, Announces Exclusive Reports for Paying Subscribers
Dear Readers,
May 30
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Shawn Robbins
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Theory Celebrates 1-Year Newsletter Anniversary, Announces Exclusive Reports for Paying Subscribers
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Box Office Weekend Forecast: LILO & STITCH and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE to Remain In Command, KARATE KID: LEGENDS ($15M+) Likely to Underperform…
Stitch and Tom Cruise will anchor another box office weekend fresh off the historic Memorial Day frame, but Sony's legacy IP revival will miss once…
May 28
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Shawn Robbins
5
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Weekend Forecast: LILO & STITCH and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE to Remain In Command, KARATE KID: LEGENDS ($15M+) Likely to Underperform vs. Expectations
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