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6-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: THE CONJURING: LAST RITES Early Outlooks, Plus Late Summer Slate Updates
Can THE CONJURING finale get this fall's box office started on solid footing?
Jul 25
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Shawn Robbins
4
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
6-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: THE CONJURING: LAST RITES Early Outlooks, Plus Late Summer Slate Updates
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Box Office Weekend Forecast: Marvel’s THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPS Holding to $125-130M+ Domestic Opening Projections After Strong…
Will Marvel's First Family's first foray into the MCU win over fans and casual audiences after three prior Fox attempts at the franchise and recent…
Jul 23
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Shawn Robbins
6
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Weekend Forecast: Marvel’s THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPS Holding to $125-130M+ Domestic Opening Projections After Strong Critics’ Reviews
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Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPS Still On Course for ~$125M+ Ahead of Tuesday Review Embargo
Ahead of Marvel's highly anticipated next chapter, it's business as usual for most of the remaining summer slate with only modest movement in current…
Jul 18
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Shawn Robbins
5
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPS Still On Course for ~$125M+ Ahead of Tuesday Review Embargo
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Box Office Weekend Forecast: SUPERMAN ($53-56M+) Second Frame Looks to Fly on Word of Mouth; I KNOW WHAT YOU DID LAST SUMMER, SMURFS, and…
James Gunn's DC Studios flagship tentpole hopes to capitalize on positive reception, IMAX and premium screen retention, and no notable direct…
Jul 17
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Shawn Robbins
4
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Weekend Forecast: SUPERMAN ($53-56M+) Second Frame Looks to Fly on Word of Mouth; I KNOW WHAT YOU DID LAST SUMMER, SMURFS, and EDDINGTON Debut
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5-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPS Pacing for $25M Thursday Start, $125M+ Debut; SMURFS Update & NOBODY…
Summer's back half will be reliant upon the staying power of three July tentpoles, but can other counter-programmers stand out?
Jul 11
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Shawn Robbins
3
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
5-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPS Pacing for $25M Thursday Start, $125M+ Debut; SMURFS Update & NOBODY 2’s First Outlook
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Box Office Weekend Forecast: Pre-Sales Show SUPERMAN Looking Up at ~$125-130M+ Domestic Launch; Can Families and Walk-Ups Send It Soaring…
Warner Bros. and DC Studios' highly anticipated relaunch is finally here. Will James Gunn's thematically relevant revival bring out more than die-hard…
Jul 10
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Shawn Robbins
5
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Weekend Forecast: Pre-Sales Show SUPERMAN Looking Up at ~$125-130M+ Domestic Launch; Can Families and Walk-Ups Send It Soaring Higher?
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5-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Can FREAKIER FRIDAY and WEAPONS Deliver a Potent Counter-Programming Duo in August?
Disney's latest 2000s-era IP revival hopes to bookend a summer which has already seen their LILO & STITCH remake break the bank, while Zach Cregger's…
Jul 3
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Shawn Robbins
3
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
5-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Can FREAKIER FRIDAY and WEAPONS Deliver a Potent Counter-Programming Duo in August?
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Box Office Weekend Forecast: JURASSIC WORLD REBIRTH Eyes $115-137M+ 5-Day Domestic Launch
Diminished returns from recent franchise installments are inevitable, but it's never wise to count out dinosaurs on the big screen.
Jul 1
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Shawn Robbins
5
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Weekend Forecast: JURASSIC WORLD REBIRTH Eyes $115-137M+ 5-Day Domestic Launch
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June 2025
Box Office Weekend Forecast: F1: THE MOVIE ($55-70M+) and M3GAN 2.0 ($14M+) Debut on Pre-Fourth of July Frame, Hoping to Liven Up a Sluggish…
Is F1: The Movie just what the movie industry and moviegoers need after a mostly underperforming June?
Jun 27
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Shawn Robbins
2
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Weekend Forecast: F1: THE MOVIE ($55-70M+) and M3GAN 2.0 ($14M+) Debut on Pre-Fourth of July Frame, Hoping to Liven Up a Sluggish June
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Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: F1’s Bullish Momentum Continues, Early THE BAD GUYS 2 ($26M+) and THE NAKED GUN ($23M+) Outlooks, and a…
Next week's marquee release is shaping up to reach sleeper hit status, while August's slate is beginning to show some potential upside in the waning…
Jun 20
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Shawn Robbins
8
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: F1’s Bullish Momentum Continues, Early THE BAD GUYS 2 ($26M+) and THE NAKED GUN ($23M+) Outlooks, and a SUPERMAN Update
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Box Office Weekend Forecast: 28 YEARS LATER ($26-30M+) and ELIO ($18-20M+) Open for Juneteenth as HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON Sets Sights on a…
Universal's live-action remake will likely claim the top spot again as Sony counter-programs, but Disney and Pixar run into unfortunate timing with…
Jun 18
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Shawn Robbins
5
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Weekend Forecast: 28 YEARS LATER ($26-30M+) and ELIO ($18-20M+) Open for Juneteenth as HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON Sets Sights on a #1 Repeat
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Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: SUPERMAN Pre-Sales Strong, But Emphasize Complex Range of Potential; F1 ($56M+) Continues to Impress…
After a complicated ticket on-sale start, our updated models for DC Studios' flagship film consider a slightly lower floor of box office potential while…
Jun 13
•
Shawn Robbins
5
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Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: SUPERMAN Pre-Sales Strong, But Emphasize Complex Range of Potential; F1 ($56M+) Continues to Impress; FANTASTIC FOUR ($125M+) Rolls Along
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